Super El Niño: Where Business Risk Will Be Highest
A strengthening El Niño - potentially one of the strongest on record - doesn’t reduce risk; it redistributes where and how it shows up. While Atlantic hurricane activity may be quieter this season, broader summer and fall disruptions are likely, including more frequent and intense Pacific storms, stronger convective systems, prolonged heat, elevated wildfire risk, and - often underestimated - an increase in flash flood risk across regions such as the Northeast, Plains, and Florida. For businesses, the challenge shifts from a single dominant threat to repeated, multi-region impacts throughout the season.